BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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North Carolina St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 21 Conference: Atlantic Coast Conference Record: (6-2) Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength = 168.78
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/02/2017 Neutral L 153.55 28 35 1A 46 ( 9- 4) South Carolina -15.22 8.22
2 09/09/2017 Home W 165.08 37 20 1A 78 ( 8- 5) Marshall -3.70 20.70
3 09/16/2017 Home W 172.40 49 16 1B 19 ( 8- 5) Furman 3.63 29.37
4 09/23/2017 Away W * 174.00 27 21 1A 32 ( 7- 6) Florida St 5.22 0.78
5 09/30/2017 Home W * 161.22 33 25 1A 61 ( 4- 8) Syracuse -7.56 15.56
6 10/05/2017 Home W * 179.74 39 25 1A 22 ( 8- 5) Louisville 10.97 3.03
7 10/14/2017 Away W * 178.91 35 17 1A 51 ( 5- 7) Pittsburgh 10.13 7.87
8 10/28/2017 Away L 158.04 14 35 1A 10 ( 10- 3) Notre Dame -10.73 -10.27
9 11/04/2017 Home L * 172.37 31 38 1A 4 ( 12- 2) Clemson 3.59 -10.59
10 11/11/2017 Away W * 171.06 17 14 1A 30 ( 7- 6) Boston College 2.28 0.72
11 11/18/2017 Away L * 163.81 24 30 1A 23 ( 8- 5) Wake Forest -4.97 -1.03
12 11/25/2017 Home W * 163.87 33 21 1A 66 ( 3- 9) North Carolina -4.90 16.90
13 12/29/2017 Neutral W 180.05 52 31 1A 49 ( 7- 6) Arizona St 11.27 9.73
Averages 168.78 32.2 25.2
Best game: 180.05 = 21 point win over Arizona St
Worst game: 153.55 = 7 point loss to South Carolina
Team stdev: 8.54